EnerOutlook 2019

これらは、世界全体的にも地域別にも見ることができます。 このインターフェースは、エネルギーの需給や、化石燃料価格、再生可能エネルギー、CO2排出量などの情報を提供します。

このアプリケーションは、POLES model モデルに基づく完全な EnerFuture グローバル予測サービスの抜粋です。

  • 電気および天然ガスの詳細を含む、総一次および最終消費量。
  • 化石燃料価格について。
  • CO2排出量について。
  • エネルギーおよび気候指標について。
  • 全世界を7つの地域グループでカバーする。
  • 2015〜2040年のデータを含む。

高度な分析のための* .xlsファイルでの自由なデータエクスポート。
総一次エネルギー消費量 2040



EnerOutlook 2019のプレゼンテーションをダウンロードして、さまざまな世界の地域における私たちの中心的シナリオであるEnerBlueの主な結果の概要をご覧ください。



Canada's crude oil production expected to increase by 1.3%/year by 2035

According to the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP), crude oil production in Canada is expected to increase by 1.27%/year until 2035. Production should increase by around 3%/year until 2021 before slowing down to +1%/year through 2035. The growth will come from Western Canada (+1.4%/year), whereas production should decline by 0.1%/year in eastern Canada. Oil sands, which account for 2/3 of the current production, will remain the primary driver for growth, despite a continuous decline in investments, due to regulatory and policy challenges: investments in oil sands is expected to decline for the fifth year in a row in 2019, from C$34bn (US$25bn) in 2014 to around C$12bn (US$9bn) in 2019. However, oil sands production is expected to surge by 46% by 2035. In the short term, oil sands production growth should average 4%/year over the 2019-2021 period.


China should spur global gas demand growth by 2024

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global gas demand should continue to increase over the next five years, spurred by a dynamic demand in Asia and by the steady development of the international gas trade. Gas consumption would then rise by 10% between 2018 and 2024 (around +1.6%/year).


NNPC expects Nigeria's gas demand to increase fivefold by 2027

Nigeria's national oil and gas company Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) expects domestic gas demand in Nigeria to increase five-fold (+393%) within the next eight years. This surge in gas demand would mainly come from the power sector (additional demand of 5.7 bcf/d, i.e. nearly +59 bcm/year). Domestic supply should also increase, thanks to the "Seven Critical Gas Development Projects" (7CGDP), which would produce an additional 3.5 bcf/d (36 bcm/year) of gas in 2021. Gas supply will also be improved with the completion of the ELPS II (Escravos Lagos Pipeline System) looping and with the OB3 (Obiafu/Obrikom/Oben) project.


Renewables are becoming the cheapest source of new power generation

According to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), renewables are the cheapest energy sources for new power generation in most parts of the world. The cost of electricity generated from bioenergy, hydropower, geothermal, onshore and offshore wind power was estimated to be within the range of fossil-fuel-fired power generation costs over the 2010-2018 period. The global-weighted average cost of solar PV has also been competing with fossil power generation since 2014.






限界削減コスト曲線 - MACC

EnerFuture MACC