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シナリオ内容

EnerBase

EnerBaseは、気候変動に対する更なる野心なしに、既存の政策と過去のトレンドが継続される世界を描いている。温室効果ガス排出削減への支援の欠如は、長期にわたってエネルギーシステム全体に影響を及ぼし、エネルギー需要は増大し、燃料の多様化は制限される。このシナリオは、3℃を超える気温上昇をもたらす。

EnerBlue

EnerBlueは、2030年に向けたNDC(国家決定貢献)やその他の国別誓約の成功裏の達成と、2030年以降の一貫した努力の継続に基づいている。新興国の持続的成長は、世界のエネルギー需要の強力な原動力であるが、成長ペースをコントロールする上で、政策が重要な役割を果たす。このシナリオでは、世界の気温上昇は2.0℃~2.5℃となる。

EnerGreen

EnerGreenは、各国がNDCの公約を達成または超過達成し、その後定期的に排出量の目標を修正することで、より厳しい気候政策がもたらす影響を探る。このような変化は、エネルギー効率の大幅な改善と自然エネルギーの強力な導入につながる。このようなよりクリーンな軌道では、世界の気温上昇は2℃以下に抑えられる。

EnerFuture:世界のエネルギー予測

EnerFutureは、2050年までのエネルギー予測を提供します。当社のサービスは、エネルギー需要、価格、およびGHG排出量の将来について明確な洞察を提供します。

詳しくは
限界削減コスト曲線 - MACC

Enerdataの長期的なMACCにより、世界的に認められているPOLESモデルからユニークな洞察と包括的なデータを得ることができます

詳しくは

21

Jun

The government of Côte d’Ivoire plans a more than three-fold increase in oil production in the country by 2027, as output is expected to grow from around 60 kb/d to about 200 kb/d by 2027. Hydrocarbon production will be boosted by recent oil and gas discoveries at the Côte d’Ivoire’s Baleine and Calao offshore fields. The government also expects more than US$15bn to be invested in the country's oil sector in the coming years. 

13

Jun

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) has published its June edition of its Short-Term Energy Outlook, in which it expects US oil output to grow by 2% to 13.2 mb/d in 2024, about 40,000 bbl/d higher than its previous forecast in May, and by another 4% in 2025 to 13.7 mb/d. Global consumption of liquid fuels is expected to increase by 1.1 mb/d in 2024 and 1.5 mb/d in 2025, with most of it being from non-OECD countries. The report changes its previous report of May 2024 regarding global oil output due to the OPEC+ producer group plans to raise output from the fourth quarter onwards. According to the report, the EIA expects a decline in global oil inventories through the first quarter of 2025 and put upward pressure on oil prices. The US marketed natural gas production to fall by 1% in 2024 because of low natural gas prices, while production is expected to grow by 2% in 2025 as natural gas prices rise. 

02

May

The Philippines’ Department of Energy (DOE) expects that nearly 4.2 GW of new power projects to be commissioned in 2024, mixing renewables and conventional sources. This includes the start of commercial operation of a record solar power capacity of nearly 2 GW (1,985 MW) that should be commissioned in 2024, and two large thermal power plants, namely the 1,320 MW (4x440 MW) Batangas CCGT power project and the 600 MW (4x150 MW) Mariveles coal-fired power project (unit 1 already operational and 3 other units under testing and commissioning). In addition, at least 590 MW of battery energy storage should be commissioned during the year.

30

Apr

The Russian Ministry of Economic Development has confirmed the official forecasts for gas production in Russia for the 2024-2027 period. Gas production in the country should reach 666.7 bcm in 2024, 695.4 bcm in 2025, 707.5 bcm in 2026 and 727.3 bcm in 2027. The ministry has also unveiled a conservative forecast alongside the baseline one, with production reaching 654 bcm in 2024 and potentially standing at 659 bcm for 2025, 666 bcm in 2026 and 671 bcm for 2027.